The Reasons Saudi Money Has Not Transformed The Magpies into Title Challengers
Eddie Howe is not prone to dramatics or grand media statements. So by his standards, his press conference following Sunday’s loss to West Ham counts as a furious tirade. Newcastle took an early lead but the opposition took the lead by the interval, while also striking the woodwork and having a penalty revoked by VAR, leading Howe to execute a triple change at the half-time.
“The opening period was particularly irritating,” the coach stated. “Virtually any player could have been substituted and I think this indicated of our performance level at that stage during the match and it's extremely uncommon for me to have that impression. In fact, I don’t think having done so since I’ve been manager of Newcastle, therefore I believed the squad needed some shaking up at half-time. This explains why I did those decisions.”
Anthony Gordon, Nick Woltemade and Emil Krafth all came off at the interval and the team managed to steady to an extent in the latter period, but never appearing like they might fight back into the contest against a side that had secured just a single victory of their previous nine fixtures. Given the congestion the middle of the table is, with just three points separating third from 11th, and a nine-point margin between the upper and lower ranks, a run of twelve points from ten matches has not placed Newcastle stranded but, similarly, they cannot end the campaign in 13th.
The Problem of Perception
The challenge to an extent is one of perception. In the Saudi Public Investment Fund, Newcastle have the wealthiest backers in the globe. The assumption at the time the PIF acquired 80% of the club in 2021 was that it would have a transformative effect, similar to Roman Abramovich had at Chelsea or the City Group had at Manchester City. The distinction is that those two owners assumed control before the advent of FFP rules (and the ongoing charges against City relate to if they breached those guidelines once they were in place).
Profit and sustainability regulations limit the capacity of proprietors, no matter how wealthy, to invest funds on their squads and therefore likely might have hindered every Saudi attempt to elevate Newcastle to the standard of City. However there is no need for the club's spending to have been so restrained as it has been; they could have spent more and stayed inside the threshold – or simply taken a fairly minor European penalty given their big issue is primarily with the continental than the domestic regulation.
Infrastructure Investment and Financial Rules
Besides which, stadium development is exempted from Profit and Sustainability calculations; the simplest method to raise income to create additional PSR flexibility would be to expand or redevelop the arena. Given the site of the home ground, with protected structures on two sides, practically that probably means building an entirely new venue. Rumors circulated in spring of potentially undertaking the nearby relocation to a local park – opposition from community organizations might have been surmounted with a promise to build a replacement green space on the current stadium site – but there has been no movement on that proposal. There has occurred significant cutbacks from the PIF on a variety of initiatives as it refocuses on domestic affairs; the approach to the football club seems entirely in keeping with that strategic shift.
Player Sales Saga
The star striker episode was born of that tension. A bolder management could have framed his transfer as essential to release capital for additional investment; rather there was a unsuccessful attempt to retain him. That meant Newcastle started the campaign amid a feeling of disappointment despite the signings of several new players. The opening was indifferent: a single victory in their initial six games.
But it appeared a corner had been turned. They had won five in six before the weekend, a streak that included demolitions of a Belgian side and a Portuguese club in the European competition. That’s why the display against the Hammers was so surprising. The issue maybe is that Newcastle’s style is extremely intense, high-energy; a minor decrease in intensity can have profound effects. Maybe the strain of Premier League, European and cup competition, five games in 15 days, had taken its toll. The German forward featured in all five matches and appeared particularly weary.
The Nature of Contemporary Soccer
This is the nature of modern the sport. Coaches must be ready to make changes. The manager has been unfortunate that the forward's fitness issue has meant he is short of attacking options but, regardless of how valid the explanations, Sunday’s performance was inexcusable –particularly after taking the lead at a ground primed to turn on its home team.
The Newcastle boss will wish it was merely a temporary setback, one of those days when everybody is below par at once, but if Newcastle are to secure the European competition in the future, let alone one day mount an actual title challenge, they must not be as unreliable as they have been.